MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-17-24 | Rays +165 v. Blue Jays | 4-3 | Win | 165 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Value with the road dog. Advantage Rays. MLB team (TORONTO) - sub standard offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .165 or worse over their last 3 games are 4-29 L/27 seasons for go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rays to win |
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05-17-24 | Pirates v. Cubs +100 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
The Pirates offense continues to struggle and according to my projections are fade material in this afternoon spot play at Wrigley. The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 34 games (-14.50 Units / -35% ROI)
MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 8-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 79?% conversion rate. Play on Chicago Cubs to win |
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05-15-24 | Marlins v. Tigers -164 | 2-0 | Loss | -164 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Miamis starter ROGERS is 0-11 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record ROGERS is 1-15 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ROGERS is 1-12 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) He surrendered eight runs and eight hits in 2 1/3 innings to the Oakland A's on May 4 and was subsequently smashed for five runs (four earned) and nine hits in 3 1/3 innings against Philadelphia on Friday. Trevor Rogers owns a ugly 12.66 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form. Motowns starter Mize (1-1, 3.58 ERA), who will start the series finale for the Tigers, pitched well in his latest outing and owns a 2.65 ERA at home this season. MIZE is 15-9 against the money line in the first half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Detroit won the series opener on Monday, 6-5. and have the edge here in game 2 of this series. Play on Detroit to win |
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05-14-24 | Yankees v. Twins +120 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
NYY expected starter has pitched well of late, but was 3-8 with a 6.85 ERA in 14 starts last season and I am looking for regression very soon. RODON is 0-7 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 5-13 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Twins starter Paddack (4-1, 4.34 ERA), , is coming off a win against the Seattle Mariners in his most recent outing last Wednesday when he allowed just one run on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings, along with 10 strikeouts. He also has victories against the Chicago White Sox, the Los Angeles Angels and the Boston Red Sox over his last four starts. He has a 1.93 ERA during that span and has walked three and struck out 28 in 23 1/3 innings. He gives the Twins a nice edge here at home. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they hit 5 or more home runs are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-14-24 | Cubs v. Braves -187 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Chicagos Taillon (3-0, 1.13 ERA) and the Braves Sale (5-1, 2.95) go head to head today in Atlanta . Note:Sale has allowed only two runs in his L/ 18 innings of work. Sale has made five career appearances and three starts against the Cubs, going 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and gets my support here laying a little extra lumber. CHICAGO CUBS are 15-25 against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 19-81 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 35-6 L/5 seasons for. a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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05-12-24 | Braves -115 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Atlanta’s Max Fried and two relievers combined for a no-hitter through 8 2/3 innings before New York’s J.D. Martinez homered to spoil the bid as the Braves beat the Mets 4-1 on Saturday. and now Im betting on their pitching staff getting them to the promised land again here tonight. Elders the Braves starter has ugly numbers based on a shellacking who took last time out but he pitched very well in his two previous starts and Im betting on a bounce back here vs a very weak hitting NY Mets offense. The Braves pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. NY METS are just 4-11 against the money line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons Mets starter SEVERINO is 2-15 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In his only start against Atlanta last season his team lost by a 5-0 count. Meanwhile, Atlanta starter ELDER is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 0.971 in his career. The Braves have won each of their last eight games against teams that held a below.500 record record.The Mets have lost four of their last five games against the Braves following a home loss. Play on Atlanta to win |
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05-10-24 | Dodgers -165 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -165 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
The Dodgers have won 7 straight games and 14 of their L/16 and are currently in top form. With Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 2.70 ERA) on the hill they look like viable bets again. The right hander is coming off an 11-2 victory this past Saturday night against Atlanta. He struck out 10 in seven innings of premier pitching , allowing just five hits, a walk and two runs. The dodgers also have some motivation for having lost. two of three last month at Dodger Stadium. Advantage Dodgers. Note: Padres starter King is 1-0 with a 6.10 ERA in three prior appearances (one start) against the Dodgers. SAN DIEGO is 6-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 2-10 against the money line in home games in night games this season. LA DODGERS are 32-15 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 36-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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05-08-24 | Angels v. Pirates -125 | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starter PEREZ is 21-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)PEREZ is also 14-3 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons He has seen his team win his L.3 appearances vs the Angels . The Angels entered Tuesday having lost 14 of their past 17 game and are fade material in this current form. I know they exploded yesterday, but now Im betting on immediate regression. LA ANGELS are 2-12 against the money line in day games this season LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), in May games are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates to win |
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05-07-24 | Blue Jays v. Phillies -125 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The Phillies have won six straight, 17 of their past 20 and 10 in a row at home and the best record in the majors at 25-11. With that said, lets ride their momentum here today against a Blue Jays side, that has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 21-36 (against the money line in road games after a loss in his career. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher like Berrios whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 1-8 ( against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the Phillies starter Sanchez ( THOMSON is 43-11 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. PHILADELPHIA is 27-12 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 42-14 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), in May games. are 53-16 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phillies to win |
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05-07-24 | Tigers v. Guardians -118 | 11-7 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Detroit's starter MAEDA is 11-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Maeda (1-1, 5.02 ERA) went 0-1 with a 7.64 ERA in his first four starts. My projections estimate the Guardians match up well vs Maeda and have the edge here. CLEVELAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season . Motown baseball has lost 4 straight while Cleveland has won 3 straight. Im riding that momentum in this spot play. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. MLBl underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, with a well rested bullpen - threw 3 innings or less over last 2 games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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05-06-24 | Giants v. Phillies -190 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Philles have won 9 of their L/10 and 5 straight and have momentum entering this game against a road weary SF team that is playing their 7 straight road game, having already lost 6 of those tilts.Considering the Phillies starter Zach Wheeler is on a heater, winning his L/3 trips to the hill while garnering a minuscule 0.49 ERA it will not be a hard decision to lay a little extra lumber in this spot play with the home side. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-37 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-11 against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 47-13 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN FRANCISCO) - bad offensive team (3.8or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-35 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win |
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05-05-24 | Giants v. Phillies +103 | 4-5 | Win | 103 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Phillies stater WALKER is 15-4 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WALKER is 13-4 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting Walker thrives vs a SF side that has averaged just 3.9 rpg vs righty starters this season. I know Logan Webb is a solid starter but the Phillies re averaging 5.6 rpg vs rtightys this season, and Webb has not been all that strong in 4 away starts garnering a hefty 5.31 ERA. With the Phillies in top form having won four straight and 8 of their L/9 they get the nod here in Sunday night spot play on a value line. THOMSON is 42-11 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on Philly to win |
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05-05-24 | Orioles v. Reds -113 | 11-1 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Reds starter LODOLO is 14-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 15-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons like Kremer. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - excellent power team ( 1.5 or more HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 7-36 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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05-05-24 | Angels v. Guardians -128 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Both of todays starters Carrasco and Canning have not looked great this season, but the far superior bullpen is owned by the Guardians who have garnered a 2.20 ERA. MLB The edge on offense for the Guardians also gives us an advantage as they average of 5 rpg compared to the Angels 4.2 rpg output. Home teams (CLEVELAND) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-23 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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05-04-24 | Rangers v. Royals +103 | 15-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Right-handers Michael Wacha (2-1, 4.24 ERA) of Kansas City Royalsand Dane Dunning (3-2, 4.13) of the Texas Rangers will go head to head on Saturday. Royals starter WACHA is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WACHA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 10-0 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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05-04-24 | Rockies v. Pirates -190 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Left-hander Austin Gomber (0-2, 4.50 ERA) will go to the hill for Colorado against Pirates right-hander Jared Jones (2-3, 3.18). Gomber has faced Pittsburgh eight times (four starts) in his career and is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA and Im betting his luck wont change today. Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Jones pitched at least five innings in all of his six start. He has not given up more than three runs in a game and in two starts has allowed one run or less. Advantage Pittsburgh. COLORADO is 7-33 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 25-75against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 14-6 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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05-03-24 | Rockies v. Pirates -176 | 3-2 | Loss | -176 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starter PEREZ is 21-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 15-3 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 14-2 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 10-1 against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record). Perez is currently in top form, and owns a 2.86 ERA on the season, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up very well against a struggling Colorado batting order. with a .229 road batting average.The Pirates lefty has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his first six starts. One the flipside The Rockies will send struggling right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-3, 5.34 ERA), to the hill. Last time out he allowed a hefty six runs over five-plus innings in a 12-4 loss to the Houston Astros on Saturday in Mexico City. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a 5.50 ERA. I know the Pirates have not been getting much run production, but Colorado has also struggled to score consistently, and with the home side having had a day off, and the Rockies now playing their fourth straight road games, all losses, Im betting on the fresher side with the better starting pitcher to get the job done. Colorado has lost five straight and has not won a series this season. The Rockies have trailed at one point in each of their first 31 games, which is a modern-era major league record. They are currently the kings of futility and deserve their fade status here today in Pittsburgh. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - struggling NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worsr), in May games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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05-01-24 | Yankees v. Orioles -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Im betting on Baltimore's Corbin Burnes continuing his dominate 2024 season when the Orioles host the New York Yankees on Wednesday evening. Burnes (3-0, 2.55 ERA) has given up three runs or less in each of his first six starts for the Orioles. He has struck out 35 and walked eight in 35 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat now on board. BALTIMORE is 22-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 season. BALTIMORE is 19-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 36-17 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Baltimore |
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05-01-24 | Pirates v. A's +103 | 0-4 | Win | 103 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Okalnd has won 3 straight and 5 of their L/6 an dhave momentum entering this game against a Pittsburgh team that has lost 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 and scored a total of 5 runs in their L/5 games OAKLAND is 19-14 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Note: Stripling the As starter today has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Pirates. PITTSBURGH is 13-36 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons MLB team (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win |
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04-30-24 | Braves -126 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Braves were tripped up last time out and will be in a prime bounce back situation vs the Mariners. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in road games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mariners starter Castillo has lost all 3 of his home starts this season while garnering a 5.40 ERA. Braves starter Lopez owns a 2-0 - 0.72 ERA on the season. This year, Seattle has won just one of four games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-30-24 | Yankees v. Orioles +108 | 2-4 | Win | 108 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Baltimore shutout the Yankees yesterday and have momentum entering this game. Os starter KREMER is 15-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 16-6 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-2 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) My power rankings suggest the Os matchup well vs the Yankees expected starter Cortes who has seen hims team lose his L/3 starts overall. BALTIMORE is 21-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line in road games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors . Play on Orioles |
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04-28-24 | Cubs v. Red Sox -123 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
The Red Sox have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.Boston has a record of 5-1 record when favored by -127 or more on the opening line by oddsmakers this season and once again look like viable favs to back. The Red Sox smashed the Cubs yesterday by a 17-0 count and now with momentum on their sides Im betting on them cashing again tonight . MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after a game where they had 20 or more hits, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 26-7 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, a top-level team 62% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 11-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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04-27-24 | A's v. Orioles -168 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Orioles starter IRVIN is 8-0 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5. After getting upset yesterday by the As in the opner you can bet the sometimes explosive Os will be primed to bounce back. BALTIMORE is 34-12 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-24-24 | White Sox v. Twins -185 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The White Sox have lost 11 of their 12 games on the road this season, in what has begun as an absolutely abysmal start to their campaign which gives me little credence to consider them as viable underdogs. White Sox expected starter Crochet goes to the hill in his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.The southpaws most recent appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing five hits. In his current form he is fade material. Note: White Sox are averaging just 2.2 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 2-17 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-21-24 | Marlins v. Cubs -120 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This season, the Cubs have been favored seven times and won six of those games and own a record of 6-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline and have the edge today according to my own own projections. I know Hendricks the Cubs starter might have some nasty early season numbers attached to his pitching profile, but it must be noted he will face a Miami side that has garnered a ugly .324 slugging percentage this season so far which is the second-lowest percentage in the majors.The Marlins also rank 27th in MLB with a .215 batting average. Im betting on Hendricks righting his ship and for the Cubs to do enough damage against the Marlins starter Cabrera to get us to the promised land of victory. MIAMI is 1-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.MIAMI is 31-86 L/117 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts are 48-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to win |
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04-17-24 | Rangers v. Tigers -138 | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The Tigers were able to get redemption for a 1-0 loss in the series opener on Monday and grabbed a 4-2 victory on Tuesday afternoon by garnering two runs in the eighth inning and get the nod again here today. Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 7-20 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 3-10 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-9 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 4-18 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.020. Left-hander Tarik Skubal (2-0, 2.08 ERA) is expected to start the third game of the four-game set for Detroit against the Rangers. Skubal collected his second victory of the season on Friday when he held the Minnesota Twins scoreless for five innings and enters this game with momentum. SKUBAL is 7-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Tigers bullpen also hasn't allowed a run over 5 2/3 innings in the series and Im betting will give Skubal the support he needs when and if he leaves this game. Considering Texas has scored two runs or fewer in four of the past six games their current from suggests their host has the advantage. Play on the Tigers to win |
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04-16-24 | Guardians -101 v. Red Sox | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The Guardians improved their road record to 8-2 with Monday's 6-0 win at Fenway and have obvious momentum entering this game vs their hosts the BoSox. Note: BOSTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-32 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 2-14 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland starter BIBEE is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200 MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are just 18-41 L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 60-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-14-24 | Cubs +128 v. Mariners | 3-2 | Win | 128 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The series finale is expected to see two right-handers go to the hill as the Cubs' send Javier Assad (1-0, 1.64 ERA) against the Mariners' Luis Castillo (0-3, 6.89).Assad, has looked good in his two starts this season winning a 12-2 event on April 2 hosting the Colorado Rockies , while throwing six scoreless innings. On Monday on the road vs San Diego, he left with a six-run lead after five innings of top tier work in a game the Cubs eventually blew by a 9-8 count.Meanwhile, Seattles starter Castillo, who owns a 7-5 record along with a 3.64 ERA in 17 career starts against the Cubs, has given up four earned runs in each of his first three starts of the season, and has looked a little shaky as has failed to last more than 5 2/3 innings in those starts.Note: CASTILLO is 6-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Cubs. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - struggling NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are just 30-13 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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04-13-24 | Padres v. Dodgers -175 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
This season, the Dodgers have won 10 out of the 16 games, for a 62.5%, conversion rate when they have been favored. The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. and added league wide trends support an even higher probability of victory. Padres starter Waldron has-seen his team loes his only start as an underdog this season.Waldron's team is 0-2 when he starts this season. and Im betting nothing changes today as my early season pitcher vs batting order projections estimate that the Dodgers matchup very well against him. ROBERTS is 73-24 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a one run loss to opponent, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 46-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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04-12-24 | Twins v. Tigers -122 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Minnesota ended a four-game losing streak by recording a 3-2 victory vs the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, but their offensive inconsistencies give cause for pause when believing they may be ready to get going in a positive direction. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense has shown flashes of brilliance and according to my power rankings matches up well against the Lopez the Twins expected starter . After yesterdays cancellation and their Day off on Wednesday the Tigers are well rested and ready for a top tier effort. MINNESOTA is 6-23 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Home teams (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 26-8 L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-10-24 | A's v. Rangers -180 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Left-hander Cody Bradford (2-0, 2.13 ERA), who was co-Most Outstanding Player of the 2018 Big 12 Tournament with Langelier's when both played at Baylor, will be on the mound for Texas on Wednesday. He will be primed to end the Rangers 3 game losing streak which came at the hands of the Houston Astros. I know the As have won 3 straight, but Im betting their over matched in this tilt as as they send Right-hander Ross Stripling (0-2, 3.75 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Rangers OAKLAND is 17-59 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - off a one run loss versus a division rival are 61-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Rangers to win |
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04-10-24 | Orioles +101 v. Red Sox | 7-5 | Win | 101 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The Baltimore offense, smashed out 13 hits during a 7-1 win over Boston on Tuesday in the series opener and now Im betting they roll here again today vs the Red Sox starter Crawford. Note: Red Sox starter CRAWFORD is 3-12 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CRAWFORD is 2-9 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 2-13 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. CORA is 11-23 against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival as the manager of BOSTON MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-09-24 | Mets v. Braves -173 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Mets upset Atlanta yesterday and now Im betting on. big bounce back effort from the Braves. Mets starter HOUSER is 0-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600. Lopez allowed one run over six innings on April 2, when the Braves lost 3-2 to the Chicago White Sox. He is 1-2 with a 3.77 ERA in six games (two starts) vs. the Mets and according to my early season power rankings matchs up well vs the Mets offensive lineup. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher against opponent off a one run win over a division rival are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves |
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04-08-24 | Astros v. Rangers +125 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss which was the case yesterday in a 3-1 loss to the Astros. The Astros have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win. Im betting the Rangers bouncing back here today. MLB team (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rangers to win |
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04-07-24 | Astros v. Rangers -110 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Astros offense has looked very inconsistent to start the season, and only managed two runs, in. a lopsided loss to the Rangers yesterday. Im betting things will not change today as the Rangers side averaging 6.5 runs while their pitching is giving up just 3.38 runs per tilt. I know the Astros Blanco had a top tier outing last time out, but Im betting on regression here against a scoring offense that is not easily shut down. BOCHY is 7-0 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of TEXAS. BOCHY is 17-4 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of TEXAS. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win |
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04-06-24 | Dodgers v. Cubs +170 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Cubs have won 5 straight including yesterdays 9-7 win vs the Dodgers at home in Wrigley and must not be underestimated in this abilities to pull off the underdog win here today. Considering Chicago has scored 35 runs over its first four home games its not a stretch to believe they can make short work of Yamamoto (0-1, 7.50 ERA) the Dodgers starter. Note: This Dodgers squad faces Chicago left-hander Jordan Wicks (0-0, 4.50 ERA), who will make his first career start against Los Angeles . Dating back to last season his team has won his last 3 starts. CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after allowing 8 runs or more are 9-29 L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 19-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Cubs |
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04-06-24 | A's v. Tigers -155 | 4-0 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
As starter Blackburn is a quality pitcher, but the Tigers offense according to my early season power rankings matches up well against him and even better vs the Motown pedestrian bullpen.What Im betting here is that the Tigers get serviceable innings out of Maeda their expected starter and quality bull pen group , and also thanks to a sometimes explosive offense find a way to the promised land. OAKLAND is 3-33 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 18-44 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 3-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-03-24 | Red Sox -155 v. A's | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Red Sox expected starter Pivetta owns a 1.50 ERA and 15.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .143 against him this season so far. He will go to the hill against an Athletics offense that is batting .195 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .323 (24th in MLB). Meanwhile, the As expected starter Stripling owns a 7.20 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .318 against him. The opposing Red Sox offense has a .244 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 53 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 28 runs scored. Advantage Red Sox The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 62% so we have an edge their according to projections. The A's have come away with one win in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season and Im betting this will be their 6th failure. The Oakland Athletics have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 157 games (-31.10 Units / -20% ROI) MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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04-02-24 | Red Sox -144 v. A's | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The BoSox look to be in a groove and have won their last two games by a 14-1 combined count including yesterday 9-0 shellacking of Oakland. Im betting on a rinse and repeat W going on the board today. Note: BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Also MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. OAKLAND is 10-30 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Boston to win |
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04-01-24 | Red Sox -136 v. A's | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Houck had great control in the spring, issuing just three walks in 15 innings. He went 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five appearances, striking out 16 and gets the nod today according to my matchup projections vs the Oakland As. Oakland had started their season losing 3 straight games to the Cleveland Guardians by a total score of 26-7 , but bounced back last time out with a walk of walk to grab a win. Im now betting on immediate regression vs what is a superior side. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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03-31-24 | Twins -115 v. Royals | 0-11 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Royals' offense is not visible yet scoring just one run in each of their first two games. Kansas City has just 10 total hits so far this season and im betting their struggles continue today vs the Twins who matchup well vs the Royals starter Singer who in two starts against the Twins last season, allowed 10 runs in 7 2/3 innings. KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 3-18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Twins to win |
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11-01-23 | Rangers -102 v. Diamondbacks | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas Starter Eovaldi allowed five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings in Game 1, which Texas won 6-5 in 11 innings. He fanned eight and walked one. In eight career regular-season appearances (five starts) against the Diamondbacks, Eovaldi is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA. EOVALDI is 12-1 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game in his carrer. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Texas, owns a record 10-0 on the road in the postseason and matchup well here vs Dbacks starter Zac Gallen who owns a 6.75 ERA in his L/3 play off starts. ARIZONA is 4-18 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 57-28 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage Texas |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
In a series like this Im betting pitching trumps offense , and entering this game the Dbacks pitching has been out standing during the post season as was the case against the explosive offense of the Phillies . Here against another top tier offense, Im betting the Dbacks once again have the edge. Aslo considering the struggles of the Rangers at home in the play offs it will not be a hard decision to take the underdog on a value moneyline offering in this spot play. ARIZONA is 9-3 against the money line in playoff games this season ARIZONA is 31-11 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. TEXAS is 7-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. TEXAS is 9-24 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are just 20-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Houstons starter Javier (2-0, 1.69 ERA this postseason). The righty allowed two runs on three hits and one walk with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in the Astros' 8-5 victory in Game 3. Javier had not allowed a run in his three previous postseason starts and improved to 4-0 with a 0.82 ERA as a starter in the postseason. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Rangers starter who had been sidelined with a muscle strain in his shoulder did not look good upon his return and is fade material here as I believe he is not 100%. Im betting the Rangers undefeated record on the road in the play offs comes to end tonight. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams such as the Texas Rangers trailing 3-games-2 but winning Game 6 on the road by 7+ runs had a Game 7 record of 2-4; the two victories were by the St. Louis Cardinals over the New York Yankees in the 1926 World Series, and by the Detroit Tigers over the St. Louis Cardinals in the 1968 World Series. MLBRoad teams (TEXAS) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), struggling hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 19-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA regular season; 2-1, 4.96 postseason) will go against the Phillies' Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 regular season; 2-0, 2.37) . The Dbacks have momentum entering game 5 of this series as they won yesterday 6-5 to tie this series. The energy surrounding the Dbacks right now is very positive and Im willing to ride that wave here on a value line. In the postseason, Gallen defeated the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers before losing at Philadelphia. He is 3-1 with a 2.22 in five career regular-season starts against the Phillies. Dbacks starter GALLEN is 11-1 against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 19-11 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Wheeler. WHEELER is 8-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 15-3 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Diamondbacks to win |
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10-20-23 | Astros +103 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 103 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22) takes on Rangers' lefty Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20). Houston offense, has been extremely productive Globe Life Field. The Astros are 8-1 when visiting Texas in 2023 and are averaging nine runs in the nine meetings. Houston has scored 69 runs in its past six games in Arlington and Im betting nothing changes here today.I know Texas left-hander Jordan Montgomery shut out the Astros in game 1 of this series, but the Astros offense has shown great resilience in the past, and have made adjustments on the run, and Im betting thats what they do here as they finally get to Montgomery. Note: The Astros are undefeated on the road in the playoffs and had the best road record in baseball this season and should roll here once again in a ball park that they thrive in. Play on Houston to win |
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10-19-23 | Astros +105 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Astros starter URQUIDY is 13-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 5-0 in his career when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.761. and gets my support here again. The Astros have scored 59 runs in their last five road games against the Texas Rangers after yesterdays 8 run and output and Im betting more explosive is on the way. TEXAS is 9-22 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons HOUSTON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. HOUSTON is 16-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 30-14 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 10-33 L/26 seasons for a go against for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Texas right-hander Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA regular season), who is making his first start since Sept. 12 after sustaining a major muscle strain in his pitching shoulder. Im sure Scherzer velocity will be down and rust could easily see him beaten around by a Rangers offense that could at any time explode for a boatload full of runs. Meanwhile, Astros starter Javier hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. The right-hander has allowed two hits in 16 1/3 innings in those starts, including a top tier six innings no-hitter against the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 of last year's World Series.Javier, will be making his second start of this postseason. He defeated the Minnesota Twins in Game 3 of the AL Division Series, when he allowed one hit in five scoreless innings. Javier, who is 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in 15 postseason appearances and get my support here today. JAVIER is 10-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 10-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) AVIER is 8-0 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 9-0 against the money line in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 40-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +131 | 1-3 | Win | 131 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Philadelphia starter SUAREZ is 7-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SUAREZ is 24-8 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Strider the Braves starter is 0-2 record in two playoff starts against the Phillies, along with an ERA of 5.79. THOMSON is 18-7 against the money line in October games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in October games are 12-37 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies |
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10-10-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 1.35 ERA) will start Game 3 for the Rangers Rangers starter EOVALDI is 19-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games since 1997. (Team's Record) Os Right-hander Dean Kremer (13-5, 4.12 ERA regular season) gets the ball for the Orioles. Im sure he has butterflies as he prepares for his biggest start of his life.Kremer, lost to Texas on May 27 when he gave up three runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings. Overall, he's 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in three career starts versus the Rangers and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this explosive Rangers offense. TEXAS is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season. TEXAS is 24-12 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. are 8-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games. are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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10-09-23 | Phillies v. Braves -147 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Left-hander Max Fried (8-1, 2.55 ERA regular season) will start for the Braves against Philadelphia right-hander Zack Wheeler (1-0, 1.35 this postseason). Fried started once against Philadelphia this season and allowed one run in five innings during a no-decision. Wheeler has pitched well against the Braves this season, but are an explosive offensive side that will eventually figure opposing pitchers out, and that is what Im betting on tonight. ATLANTA is 20-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Wheeler whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. WHEELER is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) FRIED is 24-9 ( against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 22-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) or less (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 91-31 L/5 seams for a 75% conversion rate! MLB- Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 17-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-08-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -114 | 11-8 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Texas won the opener of the best-of-five series 3-2 over top-seeded Baltimore on Saturday for their third straight post season road win. But Im betting the run ends today. Rangers starter MONTGOMERY is 10-21 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 3-10 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 37-18 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Note: Orioles starter Rodriguez since returning from the minors in July was 5-2 along with a very respectable 2.58 ERA in 13 starts . According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs Montgomery and company. BALTIMORE is 17-6 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 76-29 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are just 12-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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10-07-23 | Phillies +184 v. Braves | 3-0 | Win | 184 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Phillies starter SUAREZ is 6-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Suarez, has previously faced this Atlanta batting order in the postseason, having allowed one run on three hits in 3 1/3 innings of a no-decision in Game 1 of the 2022 NLDS. He posted a 2-0 record with a 1.23 ERA and a save in five appearances (three starts) during the postseason and I m backing him today. Note:Suarez allowed just one run on four hits and struck out seven over six innings in a no-decision against Atlanta on June 20. On the flipside I know Atlantas starter Strider was 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four starts this season against the Phillies , but all good and bad runs must come to an end. ATLANTA is 5-12 against the money line in home games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against the money line in road games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Philadelphia |
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10-07-23 | Twins +137 v. Astros | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 57 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Justin Verlander (13-8) is the starter in game 1 of this series for the Houston Astros. The Minnesota Twins have yet to name a starting pitcher for this tilt. Houston, is rested but rusty after getting a bye in the first round as they smash and grabbed the AL West from the Rangers on the final day of the regular season. Before sweeping their last three tilts, the Astros were in a funk recording a sub par 13-14 record over their final 27 games any may.not be the perennial favorite vs the Twins. I know the the Astros are the defending World Series champions , so they get alot of respect, but here in game 1 they look vulnerable considering their late season form. It must also be noted that the Twins have a deep starting five -quality starters (Pablo Lopez, Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, Kenta Maeda) that can definitely keep them in this series. Also from. a offensive perspective Minnesota had the league’s highest OPS over the month of September and are capable of keeping up with the Astros vaunted attack. We have to remember that Minny took 4 of 6 from the astros this season and are viable underdogs here in game 1. The Twins are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been listed as underdogs in their last 10 trips to the diamonds. This year, Minnesota has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +132 or worse on the moneyline. HOUSTON is 4-9 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. HOUSTON is 13-22 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 52-27 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -128 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Blue Jays right-hander Jose Berrios will take the mound in Game 2. He went 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 32 starts this season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up favorably vs Minnesotas batting order. Meanwhile, Gray the Twins starter finished strong down the stretch, recording a stingy 1.54 ERA in his final seven starts of the regular season. He walked five and struck out 36 in 41 innings and gets my support here. TORONTO is 6-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -105 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a record of 67-44, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season and once again according to my own projections have the edge in this tilt vs the Blue Jays. It must be noted despite of the talent the Jays have in their batting order they have for the most part failed to live up to expectations and are lucky to be in this position as their offense has a collective .256 batting average (just barely above the Mendoza line), and rank seventh in the league with 1422 total hits and 14th in MLB with 746 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks 16th in home runs (188) in all of MLB. Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 15-22 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.500. MINNESOTA is 23-5 against the money line in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.
MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 8-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Rangers v. Rays -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
The Rays have entered the game as favorites 130 times this season and won 86, or 66.2%, of those games and my projections estimate they deserve their fav status here today vs a Rangers side, that has been highly inconsistent since the all star break. Note: Glasnow the Rays right-hander starter today is off five scoreless innings while surrendering just two hits.In 21 games this season, he has put up an ERA of 3.60, with 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .209 against him and he once again looks to help his team find the W column in the opening game of this post season tilt. I know the Rangers can light up the scoreboard when in form, but it must be noted that the Rays are among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 860 total runs this season. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 75-28 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 11-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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09-30-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles -125 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Orioles (100-60) had won five in a row before losing 3-0 on Friday, a night after they clinched the American League East title with a 2-0 victory over the Red Sox. They were obviously in a emotional letdown situation in that game , and will be primed to get the win here as they do not want to enter the play offs in a losing mode.QUOTE: "It was a big night for us (Thursday) night, and we just didn't play our best baseball (on Friday), and those things happen," Hyde said. "Hopefully, we'll rebound and play a better game." END QUOTE Baltimores starter GIBSON is 15-6 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 22-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 16-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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09-30-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-5 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays can clinch a wild-card spot and win their three-game series versus the visiting Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay already has a wild card spot in the play offs and now just want to make sure their lineup is healthy entering the post season. Meanwhile, the Jays still need to guarantee their post season appearance with a victory and will be ready to play all out baseball to get there. The Blue Jays are scheduled to start left-hander Hyun Jin Ryu (3-3, 3.31 ERA) on Saturday. The Rays are scheduled to open with right-handed reliever Shawn Armstrong (1-0, 1.41 ERA). In 18 career relief outings against Toronto, he is 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA. The Blue Jays got to him for two runs on four hits in just one-third of an inning on Sept. 23 and according to my pitcher vs batting order match up well against him. This will be a bullpen game for the Rays, and players will be rested so the advantage goes to the more motivated side. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-29-23 | Guardians -105 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland starter QUANTRILL is 11-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 18-8 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Quantrill threw six shutout innings at Detroit in a vwin on April 19. He is 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA in nine career outings against the Tigers, including six starts Meanwhile, Left-hander Joey Wentz (3-12, 6.45 ERA) will start the series opener for Detroit. He pitched well against the Guardians this season in two starts, but Im betting the Guardians will have him figured out in the third starts a charm scenario. This baseball group from Motown has been playing better of late, but that has not been a recipe for success this season as DETROIT is 4-13 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. DETROIT is 13-25 against the money line in home games in night games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 57-18 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), playing on Friday are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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09-26-23 | Astros +131 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Astros starter JAVIER is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) George Kirby the Mariners starter has slowed considerably of late, after a decent campaign, as is evident by a 5.16 ERA in his L/3 starts. With Houston averaging 5.8 rpg on the road this season, the Astros look like viable bets here today behind Javier going against Kirby. Both bullpens are viable, so the staring p[itching and offensive production considerations are what have me on the Astros. HOUSTON is 33-14 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. SEATTLE is 8-14 against the money line in September games this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-26-23 | Cubs v. Braves -130 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup in the series opener features Atlanta right-hander Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) against Chicago lefty Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00). Steele has been beaten around in his last two outings, giving up six runs in each start. He lasted only three innings and allowed six runs on eight hits in his most recent start last Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates and is fade material here in his current form. ATLANTA is 24-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Steele. CHICAGO CUBS are 3-10 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents this season MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 93-31 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-24-23 | Pirates +140 v. Reds | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh (74-81) rallied from a 9-0 deficit on Saturday, putting up 13 consecutive runs from the fourth into the eighth inning in a wild, 13-12 final and have momentum coming into this tilt in the spoilers role. Note: Reds starter Brandon Williamson (4-5, 4.56 ERA) will start Sunday . The rookie left-hander has not posted a win since striking out nine over 6 2/3 innings against Miami on Aug. 7 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. CINCINNATI is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. is 1-8 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Pirates to win |
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09-23-23 | Brewers -116 v. Marlins | 4-5 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Woodruff in limited action has been brilliant this season -- 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA. In his past five starts, Woodruff is 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA and in three career starts against the Marlins, he is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Rinse and repeat here vs a Marlins side that is slumping as is evident by three losses in their past four games. They also have lost four of five matchups with the Brewers over the past two weeks and Im betting on them adding to those negative numbers today. MILWAUKEE is 22-15 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 38-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIAMI is 16-37 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 53-109 L/26 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -109 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rookie right-hander Bryce Miller (8-5, 3.88 ERA) will start the opener for Seattle.Miller is winless over his past five starts and has looked fatigued on occasion. Meanwhile, Right-hander Dane Dunning (10-6, 3.78) will go to the hill for Texas. He gave up six hits in five shutout innings during a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday and enters this tilt in good form. Dunning won vs the the Mariners on May 10 when he gave up two runs and six hits over six innings and gets my support here tonight. TEXAS is 19-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season.(Beat Boston 15-5 last time out) SEATTLE is 8-20 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 89-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 32-85 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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09-20-23 | Orioles -103 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Baltimore took out Houston yesterday by a 9-5 count and are viable options to do the same again today. The Astros dropped to 38-39 at home with four games left on the home schedule. Orioles starter BRADISH is 10-0 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Bradish is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros. The righty went eight scoreless innings against Houston on Aug. 26, 2022, then he garnered another 8 2/3 shutout frames vs. the Astros on Sept. 22, 2022. Bradish has allowed just four hits and two walks while striking out 16 in those outings. The flipside, Houstons starter Javier went 2-0 in five starts in August despite of garnering 6.17 ERA and .922 opponents' OPS with 16 walks and 16 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings. In his current form he is fade material agains this type of sometimes explosive offense. HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in home games in September games this season. BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents this season.BALTIMORE is 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-16-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -121 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 3-0 loss to the Blue Jays the BoSox have now lost 8 of their L/10 games and are fade material in their current form. Yesterday the Jays snapped a 4 games losing streak and now have some momentum on their sides and with Bassit who owns a 2.55 ERA in his L/3 starts on the hill have an edge over Boston starter Sale and a bullpen that is sub par as is evident by a 4.34 ERA on the season. Note: Bassitt is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA vs the BoSox and his career. He beat the Red Sox on Aug. 6 after throwing seven innings of one-run ball. SALE is 17-24 against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 12-40 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 3-17 against the money line in road games after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 6-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-15-23 | Reds +100 v. Mets | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Left-hander David Peterson (3-8, 5.34 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against right-hander Hunter Greene (4-6, 4.43). Greene returned from the COVID-19 injured list on Sunday, and he earned the win after allowing just an unearned run on one hit over six innings in the Reds' 7-1 victory over the visiting St. Louis Cardinals and has momentum entering this tilt as gives the Reds the advantage here today. CINCINNATI is 11-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. NY METS are 4-11 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CINCINNATI) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 56-18 L/5 seasons for a76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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09-13-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -126 | 6-1 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 10-18 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 14-25 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Snell has had a strong season, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitcher look average. Im betting that will be the situation today. Snell has lost 2 of 3 starts vs the dodgers this season. LA DODGERS are 26-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 21-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-38 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-12-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
After taking it on the chin yesterday by a 11-8 count Im betting the Dodgers come back with a big time bounce back effort today vs the Padres. LA DODGERS are 40-17 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season. LA DODGERS are 34-12 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Padres starter Wacha. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 88-30 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LAD to win |
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09-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies +130 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is currently four games up in the first NL Wild Card spot and will be playing hard against a team that already has their post season destiny in hand. Advantage Phillies. Atlantas starter MORTON is 17-32 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MORTON is 5-8 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.575. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 49-104 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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09-10-23 | Orioles -102 v. Red Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Baltimore has won 7 straight games and has big time momentum going into this tilt. I know The Red Sox are desperate and Bello their starter is a consistent go to pitcher, but considering how explosive the Os batting order is right now very few pitchers in this league could handle them in their current form. BALTIMORE is 9-0 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs this season. BOSTON is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 4-12 against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more 2 straight games since 1997. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-09-23 | Orioles +130 v. Red Sox | 13-12 | Win | 130 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Os smashed the Bosox 11-2 yesterday and have momentum entering this tilt after 6 straight wins. Baltimores starter FLAHERTY is 18-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Y is 10-1 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Boston sends lefty Chris Sale (6-3, 4.46). Sale's velocity has been down since he returned from a stress reaction in his left shoulder blade , and against this type of offense could easily have problems. BOSTON is 6-16 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-08-23 | Padres v. Astros -123 | 11-2 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 3-14 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SNELL is 8-15 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 17-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) like the Fathers starter Snell over the last 3 seasons. Snell has pitched well overall this season, but the Astros have a recent history of taking advantage of hurlers with sub par control. the Padres southpaw has recorded the most walks (89) and wild pitches (12) in the majors this season. SAN DIEGO is 4-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB team (HOUSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 47-11 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-05-23 | Dodgers -149 v. Marlins | 3-6 | Loss | -149 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kershaw (12-4, 2.48 ERA) had a six-week absence earlier this season with a wore shoulder and since his return, and recently he has recorded a stingy 2.12 ERA over his last 17 innings and looks to have shaken off the shoulder issues. Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the Marlins Luzardo has pitched better of late had a a three-start malfunction at the beginning of August when he went 0-3 with an 11.68 ERA. He can be a viable pitcher but here against this explosive Dodgers offense Im betting he relapses again. LA DODGERS are 83-37 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-31 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-15 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 39-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers |
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09-05-23 | Twins v. Guardians +100 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY is 1-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Guardians rookie right-hander Tanner Bibee (10-3, 3.03), matches up well here vs Gray and the Twins offense. Advantage Cleveland on a value line. CLEVELAND is 23-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) this season.
MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - team with a sub par SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%. are 29-9 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland |
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09-04-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -122 | 7-3 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Bostons starter BELLO is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.857 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well here vs the Rays. TAMPA BAY is 21-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 5-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games are 96-25 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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09-03-23 | Twins +124 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Twins are playing much better ball than the Rangers recently winning 4 of their L/6 overall including the first two games of this series . The Rangers have been particularly inconsistent at home where they are 0-6 L/6 (-9.70 Units / -100% ROI). Advantage once again resides with the Twins as road dogs here in game 3 of this series. Twins starter MAEDA is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.149 and his team has won all 3 career starts vs the Rangers. Texas starter Gray is 3-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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09-02-23 | Tigers v. White Sox -105 | 10-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Clevinger (6-6, 3.32 ERA) grabbed a victory vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday behind seven innings of one-run ball with two walks and a season-high 10 strikeouts. He has been dominant against Detroit in his career, going 8-2 with a 1.63 ERA in 14 appearances, including 13 starts and Im betting his gives his team an edge here today. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse ) (AL), starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-16 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox |
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09-01-23 | Braves -117 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Dodgers starter Urias. Note:Urias (11-7, 4.41 ERA) was the NL ERA champion a season ago, but he has been unable to back in top form and he also has suffered injury issues missing six weeks in the first half with a hamstring injury. He has been inconsistent since returning, registering four starts in which he allowed one run or none, three in which he gave up two or three runs, and three in which he allowed five plus runs. Braves starter FRIED is 16-6 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 35-12 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 6-34 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-01-23 | Tigers -128 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago will send right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-6, 4.85 ERA). He been beaten up pretty hard but did have a good start last time out vs the lowly As, which still does not get me past some of his recent ugly performances. Meanwhile, Motown will send south paw Eduardo Rodriguez (9-7, 3.21)to the hill to face the White Sox. He is coming off a home loss to Houston on Saturday, when he allowed four runs and five hits in 4 2/3 innings with a season-high four walks and one strikeout.. In nine career starts versus Chicago covering 52 1/3 innings, he is 3-0 with a 3.61 ERA and gets my support here.RODRIGUEZ is 10-1against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 17-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons like Rodriguez. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-31 ) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. (Just finished a 3 game set at Baltimore)
Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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08-31-23 | Braves v. Dodgers +125 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these teams are red hot and both sides have starting pitchers who are in a top tier groove entering this tilt as Atlanta send Strider to the hill and the Dodgers send the veteran Lynn. . However is must be noted that the LA DODGERS are 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Strider and have an edge here playing at home. ATLANTA is 13-21 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 12-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. LA DODGERS are 50-16 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 55 games at home (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 112-44 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-30-23 | Padres v. Cardinals -106 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Padres starter Hill is 0-3 along with a bloated 9.53 ERA in his L/3 starts and is once again fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. HILL is 14-25 against the money line in August games in his career (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 39-51 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Cards starter Mikolas and have averaged just 4.3 rpg in offensive production vs orthodox pitching. SAN DIEGO is 9-18 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season.SAN DIEGO is 16-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. ST LOUIS is 8-1 at home against SAN DIEGO over the last few seasons after last nights win. Note:The Cardinals have won 16 of their last 17 day games against NL West opponents following a home win. Play on St.Louis to win |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -163 | 10-8 | Loss | -163 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Phillies have won 5 straight and have an edge again today vs a very inconsistent Halos. PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season like LAA starter Detrmers. ETMERS is 6-15 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) Angels have struggled vs lefties like Phillies Sanchez during the last month as is evident by a 56 wRC+ with a 6.8% walk rate and a 27.1% strikeout rate. LA ANGELS are 3-15 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 against the money line in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games, playing on Wednesday are 8-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies to win |
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08-28-23 | Guardians +147 v. Twins | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Guardians trail the first-place Twins in the AL Central by six games with 31 to play and need wins badly and will be very motivated to compete here tonight in the opener of this series. “These are going to be playoffs games,” said Laureano. “We go to Minneapolis now and then we play them again at home. This is the playoffs.” A sense of desperation will have me backing Cleveland to bring home the cash in game 1 of this series. Twins stater MAEDA is 6-16 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 31-15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI) MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 9 or more innings are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 50-24 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-27-23 | Braves -108 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Braves are playing top tier baseball entering this game as is evident by garnering wins in 9 of their L/11 including yesterdays 7-3 win vs the Giants. I know Atlanta starter Shuster may not inspire bettors, but the Braves are a team with a winning mind set , and almost always have the edge, especially against inconsistent sides like SF who are mired in a slump that has seen them lost 7 of their L/9 overall. ATLANTA is 33-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.ATLANTA is 39-15 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 2-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.KAPLER is 18-26 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-27-23 | Yankees v. Rays -116 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Carlos Rodon (1-4, 6.27 ERA), who will make his eighth appearance in 2023 following a forearm injury in spring training, back spasms and, most recently, a left hamstring ailment. He is far 100% and fade material in his current for. the mighty Yankees have fallen and I cant see them getting up very easily . Against the Rays, the southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA in five career starts. NYY starter RODON is 3-8 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 17-21 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 40-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. (Rodon qualifies) NY YANKEES are 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 17-31against the money line in the second half of the season this season.NY YANKEES are 7-24 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-27-23 | Dodgers v. Red Sox +106 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston right-hander Tanner Houck (3-7, 5.08 ERA) had been on the 15-day injured list with a facial fracture since June 18. Despite of the lackluster numbers, he has registered wins in three of his first four starts . Houck has worked at least five innings in 11 of his 14 outings and deserves respect here in his current form. The Red Sox evened the series with an 8-5 Saturday win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick here again. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-26-23 | Nationals v. Marlins -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Marlins will start Eury Perez (5-4, 2.91 ERA) in a battle of rookie right-handers. Washington will reply with Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.47). Irvin has struggled on the road garnering a 5.18 ERA while averaging less than 5 innings per start. Meanwhile, Perez has flourished at home , registering a stingy 1.96 ERA, in 7 starts going 3-1 in the process. PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.800. I know the Nats have played better ball than the Marlins of late, but my power rankings suggest they matchup well here in game 2 of this seires. WASHINGTON is 31-82 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 72-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6. Play on the Marlins split line -1.5 run line and to win on the moneyline |
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08-25-23 | Royals +166 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
After a 10 game road trip that saw the Mariners garner a 7 game win streak at one point before losing the finale of their road adventure. Im now betting on. a huge emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here in the Mariners first game home . After that lengthy trip and than having their win streak abruptly end a hang over is my prediction here tonight vs the KC Royals . SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Royals starter SINGER is 8-2 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 18-7 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-25-23 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -144 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Arizona has come to life here in the dog days of summer, and have won 4 straight and 7 of their L/8 and deserve respect here as favs. Arizona starter Pfaadt After posting a 9.82 ERA in his first six starts and winding up in the minors has now garnered a 3.50 ERA in six outings since returning for his third major league stint, and must not be under rated in his ability to hold off the Reds offense . LOVULLO is 81-62 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win |
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08-24-23 | Reds +147 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Cincinnati holds a half-game lead over Arizona and the San Francisco Giants for the league's third wild-card berth and are in my opinion better than both of these sides. I know Kelly the Dbacks starter is a solid pitcher, but my pitcher vs batting order suggest that the Reds matchup well against him. Meanwhile, Reds starter WILLIAMSON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. CINCINNATI is 31-18 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CINCINNATI is 31-16 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. CINCINNATI is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 3-0 against ARIZONA this season. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-24-23 | Dodgers -128 v. Guardians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 1.80 ERA) of the Dodgers goes head to head with Gavin Williams (1-4, 3.02) of the Guardians in a battle of rookie right-handers during the regularly scheduled contest. Williams, is 0-3 in his last seven trips to the hill after being smashed around last time out. In his current form he looks to be in trouble vs an explosive Dodgers batting order that has revenge on board for losing the first game of this series 8-3 as favs. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - after 3 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 48-19 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-23 | Marlins +114 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start to his season Alcantara is now back in his Cy Young Award form of 2022, when he went 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.980 WHIP in 32 starts. The righty in his last five starts owns a 3-1 record along with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP during that span and gives his Marlins a good chance of a underdog win on the road today. Alcantara is 2-1 against San Diego in four career starts with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.160 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. SAN DIEGO is 37-48 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-16 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MELVIN is 48-57 against the money line in day games as the manager of SAN DIEGO. Meanwhile, Padres starter LUGO is 2-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LUGO is 6-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Play on Miami to win |
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08-22-23 | Reds +130 v. Angels | 4-3 | Win | 130 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Halos stater GIOLITO is 8-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 9-16 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giolito has labored in his first four starts with the Angels, going 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Ashcraft has been in top form since the all star break and deserves respect here in the underdog role for the Reds. In three starts this month, he has logged 22 innings, including eight on Aug. 4 in a no-decision against the visiting Washington Nationals. Ashcraft went seven innings in the other two and overall has garnered a very stable 2.86 ERA. . CINCINNATI is 8-1 against the money line against AL West opponents this season CINCINNATI is 13-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 10-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this seaso MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings, in August games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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08-22-23 | Cardinals +125 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-handers Adam Wainwright (3-8, 8.42 ERA) of St. Louis and Johan Oviedo (6-13, 4.55) of Pittsburgh are scheduled to start. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Wainwright has the edge in the starting role. Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 61-30 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record . (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.179. OVIEDO is 7-22 (against the money line after a win in his career. (Team's Record) which is what he achieved last time out. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 67-125 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win |
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08-21-23 | Mariners v. White Sox +175 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The White Sox after a come behind win yesterday that saw then score 7 runs in 8th has the Pale Hose entering this tilt with momentum. It must be noted that the visiting Mariners despite of being hot, have had a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel on occasion as is evident by going 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season like the south siders starter Toussaint. Meanwhile, Seattles starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 4-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 3-11 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-15 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves -114 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Giants starter Logan Webb is a quality pitcher but the Braves can make the best of hurlers look mortal. ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Webb is just 4-5 on the road this season, and Atlanta is not an easy venue for any pitcher as is evident by Atlantas 6 rpg average offensive production in front of their own fans. ATLANTA is 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 30-8 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 84-19 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-23 | Royals +170 v. Cubs | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
KC won the opener of this series 4-3 yesterday and have a strong opportunity of cashing again according to my projections with Brady singer on the hill/ The righty has garnered a stingy 2.05 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.591 WHIP. allowing 1 hits spanning 22 innings of top quality work. He has gone an average of just under 8 innings per start and must be respected here on this value based dog offering. Royals starter SINGER is 16-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 8-1 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile Justin Steele the Cubs starter has struggle of late allowing 23 hits in just 16 plus innings in his 3 most recent starts while garnering a hefty 5.51 ERA and is fade material in his current form. KANSAS CITY is 7-1 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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08-18-23 | Marlins v. Dodgers -141 | 11-3 | Loss | -141 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami's ALCANTARA is a fine pitcher who is currently in good form but the Dodgers are a explosive offensive team that can make the best of pitchers look mortal. The Dodgers have now won 11 straight and must be respected on this money-line offering. ALCANTARA is 8-22 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) .LA DODGERS are 15-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like AlCANTARA. ALCANTARA is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 2.000. MIAMI is 4-22 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19 against the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 31-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 13-1 against the money line after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games this season. LA DODGERS are 29-4 Units) against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-14 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 37-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 39-107 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win |