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Matt Fargo |
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| Over the last 2+ NFL Regular Seasons, Fargo is 175-142-4 (+$20,540). We opened Week 16 with a Chargers winner and have another winner Saturday before a MASSIVE Sunday upcoming. CFP Winner for Saturday night. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-F | Dec 20, 2024 Indiana vs Notre Dame |
Indiana +7 -109 at SC Consensus |
Lost $109.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFP Opening Winner. The expanded College Football Playoff is opening at Notre Dame Stadium and it probably cannot be more appropriate for the Irish to host the first playoff game. That being said, this team is overvalued after covering the last eight games. Big money has come in on Notre Dame as it is now at 65 percent and the line has been coming down which is what we like to see. We are still getting a touchdown with Indiana after opening at 8 and this game could be low scoring with some weather and that just favors the underdog. Notre Dame is coming off a late cover against USC in its last game, the only legitimate opponent it has faced with arguments to be made for Louisville and Georgia Tech but now comes in an opponent that coming into the season no one saw this coming. The Hoosiers caught a lot of flack for having an easy schedule which is legit but they have done what they need to do. Coming off the loss against Ohio St. brought in the doubters and they responded with a statement win over Purdue, granted probably the worst Power 4 team, but focus counts. And it begs the question of has Notre Dame had a tougher schedule? No. 64 compared to No. 74 so not really. We love what head coach Curt Cignetti has brought into this program and he is one to back over Marcus Freeman in a spot like this. Here. We play on underdogs of +155 to +300 against the money line allowing 2.75 or less rushing ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 32-19 (62.7 percent) since 1992 with a scoring differential of +2.2 ppg. 10* (211) Indiana Hoosiers |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-F | Dec 21, 2024 Tennessee vs Ohio State |
Tennessee +7 +105 at SC Consensus |
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| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFP Saturday Dominator. The Volunteers head north and the line is showing that they are at a huge disadvantage but they are not. Tennessee runs the ball on 61 percent of its plays and that can totally benefit a decent sized underdog and the Volunteers have one of the top running backs in the country. Dylan Sampson has seven 100-yard rushing games in his last eight, the only exception being the game against UTEP where he was not utilized with just 11 carries. He averages 3.6 yards after contact which is incredibly good and is a huge asset against this defense. Ohio St. was exposed against Michigan which has an awful offense but the gameplan was worked to perfection and Tennessee can utilize the same plan and with a better defense on the other side. A lot of people are talking about the weather factor and while it will be cold, it will not be inclement weather which makes a big difference. Tennessee falls into a great underdog betting situation where we play on underdogs of +155 to +300 against the moneyline that have a winning percentage of .800 or better off a road win against a conference rival. This situation is 24-14 (63.2 percent) since 2020 with a scoring differential of +1.2 ppg but we still prefer the touchdown spread to be safe. 10* (217) Tennessee Volunteers |
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NFL | Dec 21, 2024 Steelers vs Ravens |
Steelers +7 -115 at Ace |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Steelers are coming off a loss at Philadelphia to fall to 10-4 and it was the first loss of the season that was by more than one possession. Pittsburgh remains on the road in another tough spot and are actually catching a bigger number despite being a divisional game. While the Steelers failed to win their first game this season when underdogs after starting 5-0, this is the prime Mike Tomlin spot as an underdog coming off a loss. And he knows this team with his defense that has allowed no more than 19 points over the last eight games in this series. Quarterback Russell Wilson is coming off his worst game over his last four starts but still posted a 94.5 passer rating and now faces a bottom 10 defense in DVOA in deep balls so the absence of wide receiver George Pickens is not as big as it could normally be. Baltimore is coming off a dominant win over the Giants but it was the Giants. The Ravens are 2-2 over their last four games, one of those losses coming against this Steelers team and this is a must win to stay in the division hunt and that is a reason we are going against them here which is due to the line being shaded that way. In this series during the regular season when the line is a field goal or more, the underdog is 23-4-3 ATS which goes back to 2004. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 6.0 or more yppl, after outgaining opponent by 100 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 2020 with a scoring differential of +1.0 ppg. 10* (105) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
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